Friday, October 19, 2018

Chilly Mornings

The center of a huge high pressure dome is parked over Va. today and that meant light wind and very dry air and temps dropped into the mid-30's this morning: 36.1 here. That dome will slide east as weather does in the mid-latitudes with increasing clouds and a slight, very slight, chance of showers overnight and into early Saturday. That will clear and bring in even colder air by Monday morning with a summer plant zapping frost; summer officially gone.
The usual forecasts for the upcoming winter are flying like falling leaves: it's going to be colder than normal, the farmer's almanac says wet but mild, going to be lots of snow... Here's the only thing we know for certain, there will be weather every day and it will be different from the day before and the day after. My personal guess, with the planet in a serious warming trend, is for a still coldish (it is fall and winter and sun angle and time do matter the most) but less snowy and icy and it seems likely the wet trend we are in will continue. But, that first, good cold snap, especially after a late summer, always brings out the deep snow predictors. We will all know by spring what the winter has brought!
From the volcano list we know that the fired-up planet is a little calmer this week, 20 on the list but the eastern Ring O Fire is where the real action is. Fuego is back on the list and back in the explosive eruption business as is its neighbor, Pacaya; Guatemala always likely on the active list.  Sabancaya in Peru is also rather explosive as is Veniaminof in the Aleutians. The shocker is Kilauea IS NOT ON THE LIST. First time I can remember that. No activity in Hawaii!!
A fairly normal day in quakes, a cluster in northern Chile, Caribbean is shaky down to Martinique, the Australian/Pacific boundary zone and Alaska with a quake off Norway as an outlier. For the last week, the Kamchatka 6.7 quake and the back to back 6.3 & 6.4 quakes in New Caledonia are it for major action. All will of course change...
The last two nights in sky watching has spotlighted the moon and Mars, both bright and close from our Earth viewing location. Saturn is really dim and Jupiter is low and gone early from the evening sky. The moon will be another 12 degrees east of Mars tonight and a little bigger, approaching fullness. Good night for a party with a fire!!! But, now, it's dog walking time (or people walking from his point of view), get out and enjoy adding layers and the cool, brisk air of fall, Today on Earth.

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