Wednesday, September 12, 2018

Just Don't Know Where Flo Will Go!!

Just where will Flo go
Forecasters don't really know
But, will be a show!
As is usually the case, forecasts change, day to day and now, hour to hour. A high pressure dome (clockwise spin) over New England is shoving Flo a little farther south and it looks like instead of a northerly track the remains of the storm is going to just hang in the Carolina's for days, DAYS!!! It's even expected to hang at the coast and hammer that easily movable sand with storm surges, and waves, and tides for a day or so before easing inland and drifting toward the mountains where it is now forecast to hang into next week. This could out rain Camille over Nelson Co. Va. in '69 and estimates for that monster run to about 50".
And, while it sure looks like Virginia will dodge the main wrath of Flo, we will still get quite a bit of rain and wind from this mega-storm. What seemed like a rain free day yesterday instead finished with a shower, the full blast missing me just to the west. Another 2/10's in the gauge bringing September's total, so far to nearly 4" inches here, just slightly ahead of last years total at the same time. Last year's September rains were relieve after a hot, dry summer, this year we are closing in on 50" so far, last year we had barely received 20" at this time; it's a wild, changeable planet. Florence is likely to cause dramaticly noticeable, large scale changes in her zone of destruction. Sand erosion on the coast, new stream and river channels after flood waters recede and alluvial fan debris piles after mountain mudflows. Usually change is slow, but sometimes it's very fast.
And, while Flo is big, there is a larger typhoon in the western Pacific, a hurricane is about to bisect the Hawaiian archipelago, Issac is cruising through the Caribbean and the low off the Yucatan is still being watched with south Texas implications. September is the heart of hurricane season, the heat has built up all summer and now the planet is moving it out. We've figured out the basics of the seasonal water cycle, just can't really predict it and we certainly can't stop it. But, we could add less CO2, reduce the heat trapped by our atmosphere and perhaps, perhaps..., slow the warming increase that is driving these big storms. But, since that would hurt our economy let's freaking frack the last drop of fossilized sunshine and drive our F-150 as a commuter vehicle. Not my fault.
Florence is going to remind us why global warming is a problem over the next week!
No mag. 6 quakes so far today, several mid 5's, mostly in the western Pacific, China, Iran with a Central American shake, too. Texas, Ok and Utah in the central US are on today's list and of course, California and Alaska have quakes today. None in Hawaii, so the eruption calm (it's not over- it's never over in Hawaii)continues on the big island; good thing, they have a hurricane to worry about.
Gonna wrap up today with an adage from river trips, Today on Earth, Go With the Flo!!

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