There once was a big hurricane named Flo
And she couldn't decide which way to go
But, with a high pressure steer
It became much more clear
Carolina low country should get ready to row
Those hurricanes, you can forecast and model and predict and hope but you really don't know where they are going to go until you look back at where they went, say, toward the end of next week. Every time I look at or listen to a forecast there is something new, so, back to September 10th's blog headline: Where Ya Gonna Go Flo? The most recent forecast has Flo slowing further, oozing along the central North Carolina coast before being slowly pushed south through Myrtle Beach and then further oozing through South Carolina into the weekend. It could even get as far west as northern Georgia - have some rain Atlanta - before more oozing along the Tennessee/North Carolina border and drifting north into Kentucky, western Va and West Va., and then on up into the north east, with flooding rain all along the way. Again, we should know by about this time next week.
Earth Science reminder: High pressure moves to low. Which is why the high pressure domes, one over the North Atlantic and one over the northeast have slowed Flo and are now looking to push the storm south and west before the northern turn occurs. High pressure does the steering, low pressure (the stormy stuff) goes where pushed.
Another Earth Science reminder: Add heat to a system and get bigger reactions. Trap heat in the atmosphere of a planet and get bigger, likely, more frequent storms. Flo is far from the biggest, most dangerous storm on Earth right now; Typhoon Mangkhut is pushing the category 5 limit (cat 6?)in the western Pacific and about to rake the northern Philippines with Hong Kong and southern China in it's future sights. And, there are way more people there with way more devastation potential (but it's half a world away and they aren't worrying about Flo). Issac is in the Lesser Antilles today with the rest of the Caribbean to cruise through, perhaps headed to the Yucatan and then Texas/Mexico border region. Texas is getting more flooding rain today from a system, still not organized enough to be named, that will continue to move inland with rain, whether or not it ever organizes to name status. Eeeeeeiiiiigghhhaaaaaaa, it's full on hurricane season!
It's cloudy and swampy feeling here in central Va. today, the outermost bands and influence of Flo already sharing a little shower this far inland. Glad I'm not on a Carolina coast, good luck folks, riding this bad girl out is likely to be a bad, perhaps your last, mistake.
No real big shakes today, but still plenty on the list and all boundary types involved. Several on mid-ocean ridges (divergent), but, most along subduction zones with a couple of collision types in the southern Eurasian region (convergent) and slipping and sliding along transform boundaries (Cali). Then you have the volcano quakes (AK & HA) and the salt water injection/fracking quakes (KS & OK).
The updated weekly volcano list is down to 14 this week. Etna and Stromboli are both belching in Italy, Russia's Kamchatka land and island erupters still going strong, Krakatoa still blasting ash miles into the atmosphere in Indonesia, Central & South America, all represented. No Fuego on the list this week and Hawaii's Kilauea is calmer now than even during a break back in 2007.
It did clear here up last night for my spoiled rotten dog's nightly ride and the triangle formed by Venus, Jupiter and the crescent moon, coupled with the fading colors of the sunset were glorious, just stunning; and a reminder, even at it's worst (and, again, Earth doesn't care about or value our opinion) this is an amazing planet, I'm going to get out and check it out, Today on Earth.
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